HomeNewsSuper Bowl LX Betting Odds: Seahawks vs Patriots Lines & Picks 2026

Super Bowl LX Betting Odds: Seahawks vs Patriots Lines & Picks 2026

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Super Bowl LX features the Seattle Seahawks facing the New England Patriots on February 8, 2026 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Seattle enters as 4.5-point favorites with the total set at 45.5. This comprehensive guide covers every betting angle for the big game—from live odds and line movement to player props, same-game parlays, and historical trends.

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Odds Updated: February 6, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET
Lines refresh daily during Super Bowl week

Super Bowl LX Results: How the Betting Lines Played Out

Resolved Lines — Super Bowl LX

Spread Seahawks -4.5 ✅ Covered (won by 16)
Total (O/U) Under 45.5 ✅ (42 total points)
Moneyline Seahawks -195 ✅
MVP Kenneth Walker III (RB) — +700
Gatorade Color Yellow/Lime (+260) ✅
Stat SEA NE
Final Score 29 13
Total Yards 335 331*
Turnovers 0 3
Sacks 6 1
Time of Possession 33:11 26:49
3rd Down 4/16 6/15

*Patriots yardage inflated by two 100+ yard garbage-time drives in Q4

Sharp bettors who moved early were rewarded handsomely. The line opened at Seahawks -3 and was bet up to -4.5 by midweek — a full 1.5-point swing that proved prescient as Seattle controlled every phase of the game. The Seahawks covered by 16 points, making the spread a non-issue for anyone who got in early or late.

The under was the story of the game. Seattle’s defense held New England scoreless through three full quarters — the Patriots didn’t find the end zone until Drake Maye connected with Mack Hollins on a 35-yard touchdown at the 12:27 mark of Q4, long after the outcome was decided. Defense-dominated Super Bowls like this one consistently reward under bettors, defensive TD props, and kicker over totals.

Jason Myers was the hidden winner of the night, setting a Super Bowl record with 5 field goals as Seattle’s offense moved the ball efficiently but struggled to punch it into the end zone through three quarters. For a full breakdown of which player and novelty props cashed, see our Super Bowl prop sheet answer key.

Pro Tip: In defense-dominated Super Bowls, value shifts to unders, defensive/ST TD props, and field goal kicker overs. Myers’ 5 FG record was the hidden winner — a lesson worth remembering when Super Bowl LXI lines drop next January.

Super Bowl LXI Early Odds (2026-27 Season)

Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for February 14, 2027 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California — the first Super Bowl to fall on Valentine’s Day. Early futures odds are already posted, with Seattle attempting to become the first repeat champion since the 2003-04 Patriots.

Team Odds Implied Prob.
Seattle Seahawks +750 11.8%
Los Angeles Rams +800 11.1%
Buffalo Bills +1000 9.1%
Baltimore Ravens +1200 7.7%
Green Bay Packers +1200 7.7%
Philadelphia Eagles +1400 6.7%
New England Patriots +1500 6.3%
Kansas City Chiefs +1500 6.3%

The most fascinating storyline is Kansas City at +1500. Patrick Mahomes suffered an ACL/LCL tear in Week 15 that makes his 2026 availability uncertain — the Chiefs are essentially a mystery box at this price. Meanwhile, Seattle entered the 2025 season at 60-1 and just won the Super Bowl at +750; can they repeat with the target on their back?

New England at +1500 looks like a value play. Drake Maye is just 23 years old, and while the Patriots fell short in Super Bowl LX, reaching the big game with the youngest QB in the field suggests a team still ascending. Philadelphia at +1400 faces questions after OL coach Jeff Stoutland’s departure, which could disrupt one of the NFL’s best offensive lines.

Odds via DraftKings as of February 2026. Lines will shift through the NFL Draft (April 23-25) and free agency.

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Super Bowl 60 Line Movement Tracker

Tracking how the odds have shifted since the conference championship games is essential for understanding where the sharp money is landing.

Spread Movement

The spread opened with Seattle as 3-point favorites immediately following the conference championships. Sharp action on the Seahawks pushed the line to -4.5 by Wednesday morning:

  • Jan 26 (Open): Seahawks -3 (-110)
  • Jan 27: Seahawks -3.5 (-110) — early sharp Seattle money
  • Jan 28: Seahawks -4 (-110) — continued pro action
  • Jan 30: Seahawks -4.5 (-110) — crossed key number
  • Feb 2 (Current): Seahawks -4.5 (-110)

Total Movement

The total has moved down a full point since opening, reflecting respect for both defenses:

  • Jan 26 (Open): 46.5
  • Jan 28: 46 — under money arrives
  • Jan 31: 45.5 — steady under action
  • Feb 2 (Current): 45.5

Moneyline Movement

Moneyline odds have adjusted in tandem with the spread movement:

  • Jan 26 (Open): Seahawks -155 / Patriots +135
  • Jan 30: Seahawks -180 / Patriots +155
  • Feb 2 (Current): Seahawks -195 / Patriots +165
Super Bowl LX betting odds and lines preview 2026
Super Bowl LX betting lines and odds

Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl 60 Odds & Analysis

The Seahawks enter Super Bowl LX as 4.5-point favorites after a dominant playoff run that saw them outscore opponents by an average of 12.3 points per game.

Seahawks Season Recap (14-3)

Seattle’s 14-3 regular season record marked the franchise’s best since their 2013 Super Bowl championship campaign. Key regular season highlights:

  • Scoring offense: 28.4 PPG (4th in NFL)
  • Scoring defense: 17.2 PPG (1st in NFL)
  • Point differential: +190 (1st in NFL)
  • Home record: 8-1
  • Road record: 6-2
  • Division record: 5-1

Seattle’s Playoff Path

  • Wild Card: Bye (1-seed)
  • Divisional Round: def. Los Angeles Rams 31-17
  • NFC Championship: def. Detroit Lions 27-20

Why Oddsmakers Favor the Seahawks

Several factors contribute to Seattle’s favorite status:

  • League-best defense: Mike Macdonald’s unit allowed the fewest points in the NFL and ranks top-5 in DVOA
  • Balanced offense: Sam Darnold’s career-best season paired with Kenneth Walker III’s rushing prowess
  • Home-field familiarity: While technically neutral, Levi’s Stadium sits just 800 miles from Seattle vs. 3,000 from New England
  • Playoff experience: Core players including DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett have extensive postseason experience

Seahawks Key Injuries & Roster Notes

Seattle’s injury report heading into Super Bowl LX:

  • Zach Charbonnet (RB): OUT — Season-ending knee injury suffered in Week 16. Kenneth Walker III has thrived as the workhorse back since.
  • Charles Cross (LT): Questionable — Ankle injury, limited practice Wednesday and Thursday. Expected to play.
  • Tariq Woolen (CB): Full participant — Returned from hamstring injury in NFC Championship, no limitations.

Seahawks ATS & Betting Trends

  • Seattle is 12-5 ATS this season (regular season + playoffs)
  • The Seahawks are 7-2 ATS as favorites this season
  • Seattle is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
  • The Under is 10-7 in Seahawks games this season
  • Seattle is 3-0 ATS in the playoffs

New England Patriots Super Bowl 60 Odds & Analysis

The Patriots complete one of the most remarkable turnarounds in NFL history, going from 4-13 last season to Super Bowl participants. New England enters as 4.5-point underdogs.

Patriots Season Recap (14-3)

New England matched Seattle’s record under first-year head coach Mike Vrabel:

  • Scoring offense: 26.8 PPG (7th in NFL)
  • Scoring defense: 18.9 PPG (5th in NFL)
  • Point differential: +134 (4th in NFL)
  • Home record: 8-1
  • Road record: 6-2
  • Division record: 5-1

New England’s Playoff Path

  • Wild Card: def. Denver Broncos 24-17
  • Divisional Round: def. Baltimore Ravens 27-24
  • AFC Championship: def. Kansas City Chiefs 31-28 (OT)

From 60-1 Long Shot to Super Bowl

New England opened the season at 60-1 to win the Super Bowl. Here’s how their odds evolved:

  • Preseason: +6000 (60-1)
  • Week 4 (3-1 start): +3500
  • Week 10 (8-2): +1200
  • Week 18 (14-3): +450
  • Conference Championship: +185

The Vrabel Factor

Mike Vrabel won three Super Bowls as a Patriots linebacker (XXXVI, XXXVIII, XXXIX) and now seeks his first as a head coach. Key impacts of his hiring:

  • Culture transformation: Installed accountability system from day one
  • Defensive identity: Patriots went from 25th in scoring defense to 5th
  • Player development: Multiple breakout performances across the roster
  • Fourth-down aggression: Patriots rank 3rd in fourth-down conversion rate (68%)

Drake Maye’s Breakout Season

The 2024 third-overall pick exceeded all expectations in his second NFL season:

  • Passing yards: 4,128 (8th in NFL)
  • Passing TDs: 32 (5th in NFL)
  • Passer rating: 98.4 (7th in NFL)
  • Rushing yards: 421 (3rd among QBs)
  • Game-winning drives: 6
  • 4th quarter comebacks: 4

Patriots ATS & Betting Trends

  • New England is 11-6 ATS this season (regular season + playoffs)
  • The Patriots are 8-3 ATS as underdogs this season
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
  • The Over is 10-7 in Patriots games this season
  • New England is 3-0 ATS in the playoffs

Super Bowl LX Spread Analysis

The 4.5-point spread has significant implications for both sides of this matchup.

Current Spread Breakdown

At -4.5, Seattle must win by 5 or more points to cover. This number sits in a relatively neutral zone between key numbers—not touching 3 (field goal) or 7 (touchdown). Historical Super Bowl data shows:

  • Games decided by exactly 4 points: 5 of 59 Super Bowls (8.5%)
  • Games decided by exactly 5 points: 2 of 59 Super Bowls (3.4%)
  • Favorites of 4-5 points in Super Bowls: 7-8 ATS

Key Spread Numbers to Watch

Understanding key numbers in NFL betting is crucial for spread analysis:

  • 3: Most common margin of victory in NFL (15% of games)
  • 7: Second most common margin (9% of games)
  • 6: Third most common margin (6% of games)
  • 4: Fourth most common margin (5% of games)

At 4.5, you’re buying past 4 but not reaching 6 or 7. If this game lands on a common margin, Patriots +4.5 wins on 3, 4, and loses on 6, 7.

Should You Bet Seahawks -4.5 or Patriots +4.5?

Case for Seahawks -4.5:

  • League-best scoring defense limits opponent ceiling
  • Seattle is 7-2 ATS as favorites this season
  • Kenneth Walker gives Seattle a ball-control advantage to protect leads
  • Sharp money has been on Seattle, moving line from -3 to -4.5

Case for Patriots +4.5:

  • Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 Super Bowls
  • Patriots are 8-3 ATS as underdogs this season
  • Drake Maye has 4 fourth-quarter comebacks—could make this close late
  • First-year head coaches have historically kept Super Bowls close

Super Bowl 60 Over/Under Breakdown

The total of 45.5 sits well below the recent Super Bowl average, reflecting oddsmakers’ respect for both defenses.

Why the Total Dropped From 46.5 to 45.5

Several factors drove under money to move the total down a full point:

  • Seattle’s defense allowed just 17.2 PPG—lowest in the NFL
  • New England’s defense ranked 5th in scoring defense (18.9 PPG)
  • Both teams rank top-5 in red zone defense
  • Sharp bettors consistently took under in early betting

Defensive Strength Comparison

Category Seahawks Patriots
Points/Game Allowed 17.2 (1st) 18.9 (5th)
Yards/Game Allowed 298.4 (2nd) 312.7 (8th)
Red Zone TD% Allowed 44.2% (1st) 51.8% (7th)
Sacks 52 (3rd) 48 (6th)
Takeaways 31 (2nd) 26 (9th)

Super Bowl Pace Historically Slows

Super Bowls tend to play slower than regular season games due to extended commercial breaks, longer halftime, and conservative play-calling early. The Under has cashed in 7 of the last 10 Super Bowls.

Weather & Venue Impact at Levi’s Stadium

Levi’s Stadium is an outdoor venue in Santa Clara, California. The February 8 forecast:

  • Temperature: 58°F at kickoff
  • Wind: 5-8 mph from the northwest
  • Precipitation: 0% chance
  • Humidity: 52%

Weather should have minimal impact. These are ideal conditions for both passing and kicking games.

Over/Under Verdict

The lean is Under 45.5. Both defenses have been elite all season, and Super Bowls historically play under the total. The only concern is late-game scoring if one team trails and abandons the run game.

Super Bowl LX MVP Odds

Player Team Position Odds
Sam Darnold SEA QB +150
Drake Maye NE QB +350
Kenneth Walker III SEA RB +700
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA WR +1200
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB +1400
Rashid Shaheed NE WR +1800
DK Metcalf SEA WR +2000
Devon Witherspoon SEA CB +3500
Matthew Judon NE LB +4000

Favorites to Win Super Bowl MVP

Sam Darnold (+150): The Seahawks quarterback has resurrected his career in Seattle. If Seattle wins comfortably, Darnold is the heavy favorite. He threw for 3,800+ yards and 28 TDs this season while dramatically reducing his interception rate.

Drake Maye (+350): If the Patriots pull the upset, Maye becomes the overwhelming favorite. His dual-threat ability and clutch fourth-quarter performances make him dangerous. However, Patriots winning is already priced into the +350 odds.

Kenneth Walker III (+700): The best non-QB value on the board. Walker has carried the load since Charbonnet’s injury, averaging 5.2 YPC in the playoffs. A 150+ yard, 2 TD performance in a Seattle win could steal MVP honors.

Super Bowl MVP Long Shots Worth a Look

  • Devon Witherspoon (+3500): Seattle’s shutdown corner could win MVP with a pick-six or multiple turnovers forced. Defensive MVPs are rare (3 in Super Bowl history) but Witherspoon has game-changing ability.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+1200): JSN’s route-running makes him Darnold’s most reliable target. A 10-catch, 150-yard performance is well within range.
  • Rashid Shaheed (+1800): New England’s deep threat could swing MVP with a long touchdown in an upset scenario.

Historical MVP Trends

  • Quarterbacks have won 32 of 59 Super Bowl MVPs (54%)
  • Wide receivers have won 8 Super Bowl MVPs (14%)
  • Running backs have won 7 Super Bowl MVPs (12%)
  • Defensive players have won 3 Super Bowl MVPs (5%)
  • The MVP has come from the winning team in 58 of 59 Super Bowls

Super Bowl 60 Player Props

Player props offer dozens of betting opportunities beyond the main game lines. Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the key props for Super Bowl LX.

Offensive Player Props

Key passing, rushing, and receiving lines for both teams.

Quarterback Props

Prop Line Over Under
Sam Darnold Passing Yards 248.5 -115 -105
Sam Darnold Passing TDs 1.5 -145 +125
Sam Darnold Interceptions 0.5 -130 +110
Drake Maye Passing Yards 262.5 -110 -110
Drake Maye Passing TDs 1.5 -140 +120
Drake Maye Interceptions 0.5 -105 -115
Drake Maye Rushing Yards 32.5 -115 -105

Rushing Props

Prop Line Over Under
Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards 82.5 -115 -105
Kenneth Walker III Rush + Rec Yards 98.5 -110 -110
Kenneth Walker III Rushing Attempts 18.5 -120 +100
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards 68.5 -110 -110
Rhamondre Stevenson Rush + Rec Yards 85.5 -115 -105

Receiving Props

Prop Line Over Under
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards 72.5 -115 -105
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions 5.5 -130 +110
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards 58.5 -110 -110
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards 42.5 -115 -105
Rashid Shaheed Receiving Yards 52.5 -110 -110
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards 38.5 -110 -110

Touchdown Scoring Props

First TD bets offer high risk/reward. Anytime TD props have better hit rates.

First Touchdown Scorer

Player Odds
Kenneth Walker III +550
Rhamondre Stevenson +700
Jaxon Smith-Njigba +800
DK Metcalf +900
Rashid Shaheed +1000
Tyler Lockett +1400
Hunter Henry +1600
Drake Maye +2000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Player Anytime TD 2+ TDs
Kenneth Walker III -160 +200
Rhamondre Stevenson -120 +280
Jaxon Smith-Njigba -105 +400
DK Metcalf +110 +500
Rashid Shaheed +130 +550
Tyler Lockett +175 +700

Best Player Prop Bets for Super Bowl 60

Kenneth Walker III Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115): Walker has exceeded this number in 10 of his last 12 games as the lead back. Seattle will lean on the run game to control clock and protect their defense.

Drake Maye Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-115): Maye has rushed for 30+ yards in 11 games this season. Against a Seattle defense that can be gashed on designed QB runs, this is a strong play.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 5.5 Receptions (-130): JSN averages 6.8 receptions per game and has caught 6+ passes in 12 of 17 games. He’s Darnold’s security blanket.

Super Bowl 60 Game Props

Scoring Props

  • First team to score: Seahawks -130 / Patriots +110
  • Last team to score: Seahawks -140 / Patriots +120
  • First scoring play: TD -155 / FG +135 / Safety +5000
  • Total TDs: Over 4.5 (-130) / Under 4.5 (+110)
  • Longest TD: Over 37.5 yards (-110) / Under 37.5 yards (-110)
  • Will there be a defensive or special teams TD: Yes +200 / No -250

Game Flow Props

  • Will there be a safety: Yes +800 / No -1400
  • Will the game go to overtime: Yes +1000 / No -1800
  • Will any scoring drive take 10+ plays: Yes -150 / No +130
  • Largest lead: Over 10.5 (-115) / Under 10.5 (-105)
  • Will either team score 3 unanswered times: Yes -130 / No +110
  • Will the lead change hands in 4th quarter: Yes +180 / No -220

Quarter/Half Props

Prop Seahawks Patriots
First Half Spread -2.5 (-110) +2.5 (-110)
First Half ML -155 +135
First Half Total Over/Under 22.5
  • Highest scoring quarter: 1st +450 / 2nd +200 / 3rd +300 / 4th +175
  • Will any quarter be scoreless: Yes +350 / No -450
  • First half winner to win game: Yes -200 / No +170

Team-Specific Game Props

Prop Line Over Under
Seahawks Total Points 25.5 -115 -105
Patriots Total Points 20.5 -110 -110
Seahawks Total TDs 2.5 -130 +110
Patriots Total TDs 2.5 +105 -125
Seahawks Total FGs Made 1.5 -140 +120
Patriots Total FGs Made 1.5 -130 +110

Super Bowl 60 Alternate Lines & Teasers

Patriots Alternate Spreads

Spread Odds
Patriots +1.5 +145
Patriots +3 +120
Patriots +7.5 -165
Patriots +10.5 -230
Patriots +14.5 -350

Seahawks Alternate Spreads

Spread Odds
Seahawks -1.5 -135
Seahawks -3 -115
Seahawks -7.5 +150
Seahawks -10.5 +210

Alternate Totals

Total Over Under
42.5 -170 +145
49.5 +145 -170
52.5 +200 -250

Best Super Bowl Teaser Strategies

6-Point Teasers:

  • Patriots +10.5 / Under 51.5: Crosses key numbers on both legs
  • Seahawks +1.5 / Under 51.5: Gets Seattle through 0 and total through 51

7-Point Teasers:

  • Patriots +11.5 / Under 52.5: Maximum protection on both legs
  • Seahawks +2.5 / Over 38.5: Gets Seattle to field goal and total to a reasonable floor

Key Numbers in Teasers:

  • Crossing 3 and 7 on spreads is essential
  • Patriots +4.5 to +10.5 crosses both key numbers
  • Crossing 43 and 51 on totals hits common final score zones

Super Bowl 60 Same-Game Parlay Ideas

Conservative SGP Builds

Seahawks-Focused Conservative (+180):

  • Seahawks ML
  • Kenneth Walker III Over 65.5 rushing yards
  • Sam Darnold Over 0.5 passing TDs

Patriots-Focused Conservative (+350):

  • Patriots +7.5
  • Drake Maye Over 225.5 passing yards
  • Rhamondre Stevenson Over 55.5 rushing yards

Moderate Risk SGP Builds

Seattle Blowout (+550):

  • Seahawks -4.5
  • Sam Darnold Over 1.5 passing TDs
  • Kenneth Walker III anytime TD
  • Under 49.5 total

Upset Special (+800):

  • Patriots ML
  • Drake Maye Over 250.5 passing yards
  • Rhamondre Stevenson anytime TD

Long Shot SGP Builds

Shootout Special (+2500):

  • Over 52.5 total
  • Sam Darnold Over 275.5 passing yards
  • Drake Maye Over 285.5 passing yards
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 85.5 receiving yards
  • Rashid Shaheed anytime TD

Defensive Domination (+3500):

  • Under 38.5 total
  • Seahawks ML
  • Drake Maye Over 0.5 interceptions
  • Total TDs Under 4.5
  • Devon Witherspoon 1+ interceptions (+450)

SGP Rules by Sportsbook

  • BetOnline: 2+ leg minimum, maximum 12 legs, parlays with correlated outcomes allowed
  • MyBookie: Same-game parlays available, 3+ leg minimum for boosts
  • BetUS: SGP builder available, some correlated bets restricted
  • Sportsbetting.ag: Full SGP functionality, up to 10 legs

Where the Money Is Going

Public Betting Percentages

Current betting splits across major sportsbooks:

Market Tickets % Handle %
Seahawks Spread 58% 52%
Patriots Spread 42% 48%
Seahawks ML 71% 65%
Patriots ML 29% 35%
Over 45.5 64% 55%
Under 45.5 36% 45%

Sharp vs Recreational Money

Key observations on betting action:

  • Spread: Sharps moved the line from -3 to -4.5 on Seattle early in the week. Public money has not moved the line since.
  • Total: Sharp under money drove the total from 46.5 to 45.5. Public over bets have not pushed it back up.
  • Moneyline: Despite 71% of tickets on Seattle, the handle split is closer (65-35), suggesting larger bets on New England.

Largest Reported Super Bowl 60 Wagers

Notable bets reported by sportsbooks:

  • $2.1 million on Patriots +4.5 at BetOnline (to win $1.9M)
  • $1.5 million on Under 46 at MyBookie (to win $1.36M)
  • $800,000 on Seahawks ML at BetUS (to win $410K)
  • $500,000 on Patriots ML at Sportsbetting.ag (to win $825K)
  • $50,000 futures bet on Patriots at 60-1 preseason (potential $3M payout)

Betting Against the Public: Does Fading Work?

Fading public favorites has been profitable in recent Super Bowls:

  • Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 Super Bowls
  • Teams receiving 70%+ of spread tickets have gone 3-7 ATS since 2015
  • This year, Seattle has 58% of spread tickets—not quite “heavy public” territory

The public isn’t as lopsided on Seattle as typical Super Bowl favorites, making fading less compelling than usual.

Super Bowl Betting Trends

Historical betting trends provide valuable context for Super Bowl LX wagering decisions. Here’s what the data tells us heading into Seahawks vs. Patriots.

Super Bowl ATS Trends

Against the spread results reveal patterns that sharp bettors exploit:

  • Last 10 Super Bowls: Underdogs are 7-3 ATS
  • Last 5 Super Bowls: Underdogs are 5-0 ATS
  • Underdogs of 4+ points: 18-12 ATS all-time in Super Bowls
  • Underdogs of 3-6 points: 14-8 ATS (63.6%) in Super Bowls

The Patriots +4.5 fits squarely into the profitable underdog range historically.

AFC vs. NFC Super Bowl History

Metric AFC NFC
All-Time Wins 27 32
Last 10 Years 6 4
ATS Last 10 6-4 4-6
Avg. Margin Last 10 +4.2 -4.2

The AFC has dominated recently, winning 6 of the last 10 Super Bowls. New England represents the AFC in Super Bowl LX, continuing this recent conference strength.

Favorites vs. Underdogs Historical Data

Super Bowl favorites have a complicated history:

  • Favorites straight up: 38-21 (64.4%)
  • Favorites ATS: 28-30-1 (48.3%)
  • Favorites of 3-5 points ATS: 12-15 (44.4%)
  • Double-digit favorites: 7-5 SU, 4-8 ATS

While favorites win most Super Bowls outright, they struggle to cover spreads—especially in the 3-5 point range where Seattle currently sits.

Super Bowl Totals Trends

  • Last 10 Super Bowls: Under is 7-3
  • Last 5 Super Bowls: Under is 4-1
  • Average total vs. result: Games average 3.2 points under the posted total
  • Games with totals 44-47: Under is 8-4 historically

At 45.5, Super Bowl LX falls into the range where Unders have historically thrived.

Seahawks-Specific Trends

  • 2025 season ATS: 12-7 (63.2%)
  • As favorites this season: 7-2 ATS
  • Home games: 8-2 ATS
  • After a bye: 3-0 ATS this season
  • Playoff games: 3-0 ATS this postseason

Patriots-Specific Trends

  • 2025 season ATS: 11-8 (57.9%)
  • As underdogs this season: 8-3 ATS
  • Road games: 6-4 ATS
  • Against winning teams: 7-4 ATS
  • Playoff games: 2-1 ATS this postseason

Super Bowl LX Key Matchups

These individual battles will determine the outcome of Super Bowl 60.

Seahawks Offense vs. Patriots Defense

Sam Darnold vs. Patriots Pass Rush: Matthew Judon and the Patriots front seven recorded 48 sacks this season. Darnold was sacked 31 times during the regular season but has improved his pocket presence in the playoffs. Seattle’s offensive line allowed pressure on just 22% of dropbacks in the postseason.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs. Christian Gonzalez: The marquee receiver-corner matchup. JSN runs the crispest routes in football while Gonzalez earned Pro Bowl honors in his second season. JSN wins with precision; Gonzalez wins with length and ball skills.

Kenneth Walker vs. Patriots Run Defense: New England ranked 11th against the run (108.3 YPG allowed). Walker averaged 5.2 YPC in the playoffs. If Seattle establishes the ground game early, it opens play-action opportunities that have been Darnold’s strength.

Patriots Offense vs. Seahawks Defense

Drake Maye vs. Seahawks Secondary: Devon Witherspoon and Tariq Woolen form the best cornerback duo in football. Maye completed just 58% of passes against top-10 defenses this season. Seattle’s coverage has allowed the lowest passer rating in the NFL (72.4).

Patriots O-Line vs. Seattle’s Pass Rush: Seattle recorded 52 sacks (3rd in NFL). Boye Mafe and Uchenna Nwosu create consistent pressure. New England’s offensive line allowed 39 sacks during the regular season—can they protect Maye against Seattle’s relentless front?

Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Seattle’s Front Seven: Seattle’s run defense ranked 4th (94.2 YPG allowed). Stevenson needs to find running room to keep New England’s offense balanced. If Seattle stacks the box, Maye must beat them through the air.

Special Teams Battle

Kickers: Jason Myers (Seattle) made 92% of field goals this season. Joey Slye (New England) converted 85%. In a defensive game, kicking could decide the outcome.

Return Game: Both teams have dynamic return specialists. Laviska Shenault (Seattle) and Marcus Jones (New England) can flip field position. Watch for a special teams score in this one.

Super Bowl 60 Coaching Analysis

The coaching matchup between Mike Macdonald and Jerod Mayo features two first-year head coaches with defensive backgrounds.

Mike Macdonald (Seattle Seahawks)

Background: Macdonald came to Seattle after transforming Baltimore’s defense into the league’s best unit. At just 37, he’s one of the youngest coaches in Super Bowl history.

Coaching Style: Known for complex coverage disguises and aggressive blitz packages. Seattle’s defense has forced 31 takeaways this season—a direct result of Macdonald’s scheme creating confusion.

Super Bowl Impact: Macdonald will have two weeks to game-plan specifically for Drake Maye. Expect creative pressure packages designed to rattle the young quarterback.

Jerod Mayo (New England Patriots)

Background: Mayo inherited the Patriots from Bill Belichick after serving as defensive coordinator. His playing career as a Pro Bowl linebacker informs his coaching philosophy.

Coaching Style: Mayo has emphasized player development and aggressive defense. His willingness to let Drake Maye play freely has unlocked the young quarterback’s potential.

Super Bowl Impact: Can Mayo outscheme a fellow defensive mind? His game-planning ability will be tested against Macdonald’s well-coached Seattle defense.

First-Year Head Coaches in the Super Bowl

Coach Team Year Result
George Seifert 49ers 1989 Won
Barry Switzer Cowboys 1995 Won
Jon Gruden Buccaneers 2002 Won
Gary Kubiak Broncos 2015 Won
Doug Pederson Eagles 2017 Won

First-year coaches are 5-0 in Super Bowls when reaching the big game. Both Macdonald and Mayo will attempt to continue this trend.

Super Bowl XLIX Rematch Context

Super Bowl LX marks the first Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl since the memorable Super Bowl XLIX on February 1, 2015.

Super Bowl XLIX Recap: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24

The Patriots won one of the most dramatic Super Bowls ever when Malcolm Butler intercepted Russell Wilson at the goal line with 20 seconds remaining. Seattle had the ball at the 1-yard line with a chance to win, but an ill-fated pass play led to Butler’s legendary pick.

Key stats from Super Bowl XLIX:

  • Tom Brady: 37-50, 328 yards, 4 TDs, 2 INTs
  • Russell Wilson: 12-21, 247 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT
  • Patriots were -1 point favorites
  • Total was 47.5 (Under cashed at 52 combined points)

What’s Different 11 Years Later

Category Super Bowl XLIX Super Bowl LX
Seahawks QB Russell Wilson Sam Darnold
Patriots QB Tom Brady Drake Maye
Seahawks Coach Pete Carroll Mike Macdonald
Patriots Coach Bill Belichick Jerod Mayo
Favorite Patriots -1 Seahawks -4.5
Total 47.5 45.5

The roles are reversed this time—Seattle is favored, and New England enters as the underdog looking for an upset.

Players Remaining From Super Bowl XLIX

Remarkably few connections remain between these franchises and that 2015 game:

  • Seahawks: No players remain from the Super Bowl XLIX roster
  • Patriots: No players remain from the Super Bowl XLIX roster
  • Coaching staffs: No coaches from either 2015 staff are with the teams now

This is effectively a completely new rivalry, though the fanbases certainly remember the history.

Super Bowl LX Predictions

Our research team analyzes the matchup from multiple angles to provide informed Super Bowl 60 predictions.

Score Prediction

Seahawks 24, Patriots 20

Seattle’s defense makes enough plays to hold off New England, but the Patriots keep it close throughout. Kenneth Walker controls the clock in the fourth quarter, and Sam Darnold makes the key throws when needed. Drake Maye shows his potential but falls just short against the league’s best defense.

Spread Pick

Patriots +4.5 (-110)

The historical trends favor underdogs (5-0 ATS last 5 Super Bowls), and New England has covered as underdogs all season long (8-3 ATS). Drake Maye’s ability to extend plays and create explosive plays gives the Patriots upset potential. Even if Seattle wins, we expect a close game.

Total Pick

Under 45.5 (-110)

Two top-5 defenses, conservative Super Bowl play-calling, and perfect weather for ball control. The Under has cashed in 7 of 10 recent Super Bowls, and both teams rank in the top 5 in red zone defense. Expect field goals and low-scoring quarters.

Best Bet

Kenneth Walker III Over 74.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Walker has exceeded this number in every playoff game. Seattle will rely on the run to control tempo and protect their lead. New England’s run defense is vulnerable (11th in the league), and Walker’s burst creates chunk plays.

Value Play

Devon Witherspoon Anytime Interception (+300)

Witherspoon has 5 interceptions this season and faces a young quarterback prone to forcing throws under pressure. Seattle’s coverage schemes create turnovers, and Witherspoon has elite ball skills. At +300, this is strong value.

Super Bowl Betting Promos by State

Legal sports betting is available in 38 states plus D.C. Most licensed sportsbooks offer similar promotions:

  • DraftKings: Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets
  • FanDuel: No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000
  • BetMGM: First Bet Offer up to $1,500
  • Caesars: First Bet on Caesars up to $1,000
  • ESPN BET: First Bet Reset up to $1,000

Offshore sportsbooks accept bets from most U.S. locations.

Super Bowl LX Halftime Show: Bad Bunny

Bad Bunny headlines the Super Bowl LX halftime show at Levi’s Stadium. Sportsbooks have released extensive halftime entertainment props.

Halftime Show Props

Prop Odds
First Song: “Tití Me Preguntó” +250
First Song: “Moscow Mule” +300
Guest Appearance: Yes -180
Songs Performed O/U 6.5 -115/-105
Outfit Changes Over 1.5 -140

Guest appearance favorites: Shakira (+400), Daddy Yankee (+450), J Balvin (+500), Rosalía (+600).

Super Bowl 60 Betting FAQ

When and where is Super Bowl LX?

Sunday, February 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Kickoff is 6:30 PM ET.

Who is playing and who is favored?

Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots. Seattle is a 4.5-point favorite with -195 moneyline odds.

Can I bet on the Super Bowl legally?

Sports betting is legal in 38 states plus D.C., including Massachusetts and California. Offshore sportsbooks also accept bets from most U.S. locations.

What are the best Super Bowl 60 bets?

The Seahawks covered -4.5 easily (won by 16), the Under 45.5 cashed (42 total points), and Kenneth Walker III won MVP with 135 rushing yards. See our full results breakdown above.

What types of props can I bet?

Player stats (passing/rushing/receiving yards, TDs), game props (first score, coin toss), and entertainment props (halftime show, anthem, Gatorade color). See our Super Bowl prop bets guide for full details.

Should I bet early or wait?

Bet favorites early before the line moves. For underdogs, waiting often yields better numbers as public money loads on favorites.

Who is the MVP favorite?

Sam Darnold (+150) as Seattle’s QB. Drake Maye (+350) leads Patriots. Kenneth Walker III (+700) offers best non-QB value.

Can I bet live during the Super Bowl?

Yes, all major sportsbooks offer extensive live betting with lines updating after every play.

Sarah Kowalski
Sarah Kowalskihttps://northeasttimes.com/authors/sarah-kowalski/
Sarah Kowalski covers NFL betting, college football, esports, and player props for NortheastTimes.com. A Green Bay native now based in Chicago, Sarah grew up in a household where Packers football was religion - her dad's had season tickets since before she was born. She started tracking family picks in a spreadsheet for fun; three seasons later, she was beating everyone by 8%. Sarah's approach is data-driven but accessible: she'll show you the numbers, explain why they matter, and admit when her model got it wrong. Her current NFL ROI sits at +4.2%, tracked across 800+ bets. When she's not breaking down spreads, she's working in marketing at a local brewery or making the drive to Lambeau for home games.